Some analyst just predicted that Google’s Android will overtake the iPhone by 2012. While Mr. Sherwood predicts that Google’s marketshare with the Android will have quadrupled by 2012, he still thinks Symbian will remain the dominant OS for smartphones for quite a while.
The reason for the prediction:
“unlike Apple, they [Google] license their OS to multiple OEMs”. — Ken Dulaney, VP of Gartner.
Sherwood again quoted Dulaney,
“Android’s market share stood at a paltry 1.6 per cent during Q1 2009, but will grow to 14.5 per cent by the time Q4 2012 rolls around, Gartner forecast, based on an estimated 522m smartphones shipping worldwide during the period.
As a result, Android will move from its current position as the sixth most popular operating system for smartphones to become the second most popular, Gartner said.”
This is very possible. The market of smartphones has not even come close to reaching the mainstream yet.
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